PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN VOLUME IMPOR PAKAN TERNAK

Herlena Bidi Astuti; Wawan Eka Putra; Emlan Fauzi; Yesmawati Yesmawati

doi:10.37676/agritepa.v7i2.1161

PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN VOLUME IMPOR PAKAN TERNAK

FORECASTING MODELS VOLUME OF ANIMAL FEED IMPORT

Herlena Bidi Astuti
Wawan Eka Putra
Emlan Fauzi
Yesmawati Yesmawati

DOI: https://doi.org/10.37676/agritepa.v7i2.1161

Keywords: estimation, import, feed, livestock

Abstract

Feed is an important element in developing livestock business. At present, imports are still needed to meet domestic needs. This study aims to examine the best forecasting model for the volume of animal feed imports. The data used are monthly import volume data from 2015: 1-2019: 9 used for this study and three models namely Moving Average, exponential smoothing and simple linear regression. the selection of the best model is based on the value of MAPE, MAD and MSD or MSE. The results showed that the best forecasting model was the Simple Linear Regression method.

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Published

2020-12-10

How to Cite

Astuti, H., Putra, W., Fauzi, E., & Yesmawati, Y. (2020). PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN VOLUME IMPOR PAKAN TERNAK. AGRITEPA: Jurnal Ilmu Dan Teknologi Pertanian, 7(2), 123-129. https://doi.org/10.37676/agritepa.v7i2.1161

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Issue

Vol 7 No 2 (2020)

Section

Article Reasearch

Author retains the copyright and grants the journal the right of first publication of the work simultaneously licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal